These are my fighter picks (odds to win from bookmakers next to a fighter name) for the 23rd event trying out the Strategy:
Chris Gutiérrez +300
Anthony Smith +190
To make these picks, I chose two pairs of fighters I believed I knew enough about to beat the odds. My odds - predictions:
Song Yadong (60%) vs. Chris Gutiérrez (40%)
"Identical height. Identical reach. Both are great strikers with 20 professional wins and the same knockout percentage (9/20 wins came by knockout). However, Song Yadong has faced better competition than Chris Gutiérrez. Song is a Small favorite."
Anthony Smith (40%) vs. Khalil Rountree Jr. (60%)
"Khalil Rountree Jr. has an impressive 4-fights winning streak and looks like a real problem, but he faces an always dangerous and extremely experienced Anthony Smith this time. Khalil is a Small favorite."
Then, I compared my predictions against the odds from www.ufc.com and picked profitable options (for these options +- was positive, meaning bookmakers offered better odds than I perceived):
RESULTS
Song Yadong beat Chris Gutiérrez -$100
Song Yadong's pressure and superior wrestling were too much for Chris Gutiérrez. Song got a unanimous decision victory.
Khalil Rountree Jr. beat Anthony Smith -$100
Khalil Rountree Jr. made Anthony Smith do a chicken dance in the third round, not without the help of his devastating punches. Impressive KO victory by Khalil.
Balance before the event:
+$682
Balance after the event:
+$482